How to find a successful nick

Throughout my career I have always been taught to pay attention to nicks, steering towards those that have proven to be successful and avoiding those that have not.

The premise of nicking refers to sire and broodmare sire combinations – how certain stallion lines and pedigrees cross over with other stallion lines and pedigrees. You are looking for genetics that complement others and ultimately result in success on the racetrack, while also noting which ones produce slow horses.

At the very core, you’re looking to see if there is data on the stallion himself and if he is proven, and in the broodmare sire and the line that she is from.

Younger stallions won’t have any data, so you need to take a more removed view where you’re looking at a stallion’s parents and how their different genetics match with other lines.

Our most successful stallion in Australia, Danehill, has proven unsuccessful from a close up sireline to sireline view – except with some stallions. A stallion like Choisir has a fantastic success rate when matched up closely with Danehill in his pedigree.

With certain stallions you have options where they have superior females in their pedigrees. It’s proving to be successful matching those lines together and bringing out close relations where this very strong female in the pedigree is reproducing. You hope that the strengths of that come to the fore in the horse.

While you have the genetic makeup of a horse, you also have the physicality of a horse where certain stallions throw a certain type – whether it be big, small, heavy or light.

A lot of the time the positive nicks work not only because of the genetic makeup of the family’s match but also because the physical type of those two stallions complement each other. One stallion might even compensate for the other stallion’s weakness.

I always have nicks and crosses in the front of mind, keeping up to date with sires that are getting older or developing, what successful patterns are emerging and with what lines. In particular I follow what other stallions they work well with and what they don’t work well with.

You really need to make an educated assumption early in a stallion’s career with the limited data you have, but as time goes on a good stallion become stronger because people learn how to breed on a positive nick.

Redoute’s Choice

The below table lists the sire strake with broodmare sires in Australia to help you understand the potential for success with a cross.

SIRE BMSire Rnrs BTW Nick %BTW Sire %BTW
Fastnet Rock Galileo 28 6 21.4 8.8
Pierro Redoute’s Choice 31 6 19.4 6.9
Not A Single Doubt More Than Ready 18 5 27.8 8.4
Exceed And Excel Elusive Quality 19 5 26.3 10.1
Choisir Encosta de Lago 27 5 18.5 5.7
Street Cry Danehill 28 5 17.9 9
Street Cry Redoute’s Choice 32 5 15.6 9
Medaglia d’Oro Lonhro 12 4 33.3 6.8
Redoute’s Choice Hussonet 14 4 28.6 10.8
Fastnet Rock Stravinsky 27 4 14.8 8.8
Lonhro Commands 32 4 12.5 8
High Chaparral Zabeel 33 4 12.1 7.9
Lonhro Redoute’s Choice 34 4 11.8 8
Sebring Redoute’s Choice 36 4 11.1 6.4
Sebring Encosta de Lago 43 4 9.3 6.4
Redoute’s Choice Encosta de Lago 46 4 8.7 10.8
High Chaparral Danehill 52 4 7.7 7.9
Commands Canny Lad 10 3 30 7.2
Savabeel Montjeu 10 3 30 7.8
Snitzel Elusive Quality 10 3 30 8.9
High Chaparral Fastnet Rock 12 3 25 7.9
Not A Single Doubt Hussonet 12 3 25 8.4
Not A Single Doubt Zabeel 14 3 21.4 8.4
Redoute’s Choice More Than Ready 14 3 21.4 10.8
Sebring Anabaa 16 3 18.8 6.4
Snitzel Red Ransom 17 3 17.6 8.9
So You Think Redoute’s Choice 20 3 15 3.1
Sebring Danehill 22 3 13.6 6.4
Testa Rossa Encosta de Lago 22 3 13.6 5.4
Not A Single Doubt Encosta de Lago 24 3 12.5 8.4
Snitzel Zabeel 27 3 11.1 8.9
More Than Ready Zabeel 28 3 10.7 7.6
Charge Forward Redoute’s Choice 29 3 10.3 4.5
Exceed And Excel Encosta de Lago 29 3 10.3 10.1
High Chaparral Encosta de Lago 31 3 9.7 7.9
More Than Ready Flying Spur 47 3 6.4 7.6
More Than Ready Danehill 67 3 4.5 7.6

 

(Crops 2010-2016, 10 or more runners and 2 or more BTW – table provided by TDN AusNZ)